Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 1.685442 1.942933 2.220603 2.541558 2.901559 3.292121 3.747104
2024-11-03 1.279580 1.635273 2.052551 2.574825 3.207337 3.944700 4.865147
2024-11-10 0.992150 1.391944 1.897541 2.575710 3.452296 4.537042 5.969400
2024-11-17 0.775349 1.185574 1.741051 2.533486 3.617610 5.029426 6.983858
2024-11-24 0.613894 1.017362 1.599240 2.476928 3.739776 5.459284 7.938444
2024-12-01 0.511276 0.911697 1.522855 2.491235 3.946962 6.006193 9.079007
2024-12-08 0.423947 0.811367 1.435539 2.471327 4.092767 6.467728 10.123439
2024-12-15 0.370970 0.756572 1.408407 2.534797 4.360904 7.116465 11.470944
2024-12-22 0.317625 0.690458 1.351531 2.540104 4.533439 7.628331 12.642581
2024-12-29 0.289937 0.666266 1.361563 2.654583 4.885812 8.433383 14.300897
2025-01-05 0.262196 0.636572 1.356736 2.740548 5.194706 9.186000 15.917470
2025-01-12 0.225321 0.580955 1.295625 2.717837 5.314326 9.638691 17.081947
2025-01-19 0.200866 0.548754 1.277567 2.776540 5.588135 10.374759 18.769143
2025-01-26 0.177235 0.513872 1.249623 2.813893 5.828029 11.072103 20.439129
2025-02-02 0.153783 0.474343 1.206173 2.815508 6.001741 11.666863 21.972214
2025-02-09 0.130309 0.429211 1.143518 2.770219 6.081723 12.101089 23.254714
2025-02-16 0.109495 0.385833 1.077612 2.709273 6.123983 12.467554 24.436198
2025-02-23 0.096282 0.360392 1.049289 2.724784 6.316211 13.114140 26.139671
2025-03-02 0.082982 0.331126 1.006830 2.703309 6.430228 13.620544 27.615423
2025-03-09 0.075686 0.318684 1.004465 2.771865 6.733268 14.495172 29.794719
2025-03-16 0.066579 0.297778 0.976719 2.777600 6.903495 15.124721 31.552594
2025-03-23 0.062977 0.295027 0.997373 2.901184 7.335012 16.281008 34.339077
2025-03-30 0.058525 0.288039 1.005227 2.993948 7.705265 17.335128 36.977923